New study with long term simulations analyzes possible scenarios for the coming half year

The geneticist and the simulation researcher talk about models of the future and role models from the Renaissance

Mathematical model determines vaccine requirements until October ‘22 for safe & efficient planning

Optimistic model calculation shows: without response, immunity level drops to just above 10% by October

Current immunization level against infection with Omicron-variant at just under 80%

Model-based analysis of population immunization level and its braking effect on effective reproductive number was published

Omicron wave and quarantine cases depend heavily on spread of subvariant BA.2. But how does this work?

Calculations for Omicron show reduced effectiveness compared with Delta, implementation is key

Model assumptions suggest that BA.2 can bypass immune protection better than BA.1

An assessment of the current prognosis and developments by the COVID-19 simulation team

Results & findings of simulation project for Vienna’s election 2020 published by PLOS ONE

Strong infection reduction by additional testing and good TTI-implementation (Testing-Tracing-Isolation)

Nominated at Austria-21 Gala for ‘‘the predictions and simulations around COVID-19’’

TTI-Strategy with 500.000 daily tests (incl. school testing) reduce Reff by 15% in Austria

Analysis of data, including dark figures and loss of immunity, indicates current situation

In the category ‘Research’ one of the 5 nominees for the ‘Austria 21’ election - until October 4

Policy brief of Prognosis Consortium: nearly 1 million additional first-time vaccinations needed to brake 4th wave

How the virtual population model helps review and improve knowledge on immunization and vaccine effectiveness

Analysis attests: PCR entry test and high vaccination coverage reduce infection risk from open air event

COVID forecasting consortium publishes policy brief for Ministry of Health with outlook until September 2021

Analysis of schools' impact on infection dynamics

Simulation-based, anonymized reproduction of detailed COVID-19 case numbers for scientific community

Vaccine for mass vaccinations is under way. Speedy vaccination and high participation will show impact in June

End-of-June Prognosis for first shot. Challenges: logistics, supply with vaccine and willingness to recieve vaccination

Public vote for PRVA’s special award ‘‘COVID-Communication’’ open until April 21st

Weekly short-term forecast now available with detailed information and background info